Digital

The rent always rises

By Simon Lodge · 14 October 2026 · 6 min read All insights

Every audience you have is sitting on land you do not own.

The followers, the reach, the search ranking, the ad account that quietly prints demand each quarter. None of it is yours. You are a tenant. And the landlord has read your lease more carefully than you have.

This is the most expensive thing founders get wrong about distribution, and they get it wrong because the early rent is cheap. A new channel is generous when it needs you. It shows your posts to everyone. It sends you traffic. It behaves, briefly, like a gift. So you build on it. You pour years of content and budget and relationship into ground you are renting by the month, and you call it your audience.

Then the terms change.

The deal degrades on purpose

Look at what happened to organic reach. In 2012 a Facebook page reached about 16% of its own followers for free. By 2025 that figure sat between 1 and 2% (Hootsuite). The people who chose to follow you, who raised their hand and asked to hear from you, are now shown to you at a price. You built the audience. You now rent access to it back from the company that stands between you.

The tempting read is that the platform got crowded, or the algorithm got smarter, or attention simply fragmented. That lets everyone off the hook. The truer read is that the decline was a decision. Reach is inventory. Free reach is inventory the platform is choosing not to sell. As soon as you are dependent, the rational move for the landlord is to meter the thing you already depend on.

Cory Doctorow gave this its name in January 2023. He called it enshittification, and described how platforms die: “first, they are good to their users; then they abuse their users to make things better for their business customers; finally, they abuse those business customers to claw back all the value for themselves. Then, they die.” The word was ugly enough and true enough that the American Dialect Society voted it word of the year for 2023. It stuck because everyone building a business online had already felt it happen to them.

You are, in this model, the business customer. Stage two was you being courted. Stage three is you being harvested.

You still cannot skip the rented land

Here is the honest part, the part most “build your own audience” advice skips because it makes the advice harder to sell.

You cannot opt out of rented land. Discovery lives there. Strangers do not find you in your own email database, because they are not in it yet. They find you on the platform, in the feed, in the search result, in the answer a machine now writes on your behalf. Telling a growth-stage founder to ignore the channels where new people actually are is advice from someone who has never had to fill a pipeline. Rented reach is not the mistake. Treating rented reach as an asset is the mistake.

The distinction that matters is not owned versus rented. It is what you do with the rented while you have it.

Rented reach is a loan. The only way to keep any of it is to convert it into something you own before the terms change.

Every impression a platform gives you is a chance to move that relationship somewhere the platform cannot reach into. An email address. A community you host. A customer who has bought once and will hear from you directly next time. First-party data that lives in your systems because the person handed it to you, not because an intermediary lent it. The channel is the shop window. The owned asset is the customer walking out with your bag and your name in their phone.

Get this backwards and you spend years renting attention and keeping none of it. Every campaign starts from zero because the last one left nothing behind. That is not a marketing problem. It is a balance-sheet problem wearing a marketing costume.

The data you borrow is not yours either

The clearest recent lesson came from cookies. For years the entire ad industry ran on third-party data, tracking users across sites through infrastructure nobody in the industry actually controlled. Google announced it would end third-party cookies in Chrome, the whole sector rebuilt its plans around the deadline, and then in July 2024 Google reversed course and kept them, subject to user choice.

Read that as a reprieve and you have learned nothing. The data was never yours. It sat inside someone else’s browser, governed by their politics and their regulators, and it could vanish or persist entirely on their say-so. Whether the cookie lives or dies is beside the point. The point is that a marketing plan resting on data you borrow from an intermediary is a plan you do not control. First-party data, given to you directly by a person who chose to, is the only version that survives a policy memo you were not in the room for.

The margin follows the deed

There is a reason owned channels quote absurd-looking returns. Litmus, in its 2025 State of Email report, found most companies earning somewhere between $10 and $50 back for every dollar spent on email, with a large share above $36.

Email is not magic. The number is high for a boring structural reason: you own the distribution, so you keep the margin. There is no auction between you and your customer, no landlord taking a cut of a relationship you built. Compare that to paid social, where the return is real but rented, and where your cost to reach the same person climbs every year the platform decides it can charge more. One is an asset that compounds. The other is a bill that grows.

Owned is not free, and pretending otherwise is the glib version of this argument. A list decays if you never write to it. A community dies if nobody tends it. First-party data rots without maintenance. The work does not disappear when you own the channel. What changes is who captures the value of the work. On rented land, the improvements you make raise the landlord’s rent. On owned land, they raise your equity.

So run the test on everything you do. For each channel ask one question: if this platform changed its terms tomorrow, what would I still have? Sort your activity into the answer. Most companies have never drawn the line, which is exactly why they cannot tell you where their audience actually lives. It lives in someone else’s account, under someone else’s terms, one policy change from gone.

Use the rented land. You have to. Just stop mistaking the traffic for the asset. The traffic is borrowed and the rent only goes one way. Spend it to build the thing that is yours, so that the day the terms change, and they always change, you are the one holding the deed.

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